• Traffic growth in the region will generate demand for over 1,280 new aircraft

France | August 25, 2015– According to the latest Airbus Global Market Forecast (GMF), the Russia & CIS air passenger market will more than double in the next 20 years, with over 2,000 aircraft needed by 2034, compared to the 922 in operation today to meet the countries’ growing demand for air travel. Airbus’ forecast shows that over 1,280 of these aircraft will be new deliveries, valued at US$150 billion, comprising 1,100 single-aisles, 160 twin-aisles and 24 very large aircraft. These additional aircraft will satisfy both fleet replacement needs and future growth for the intra-regional CIS and international market.

Airbus’ GMF foresees that in the next 20 years airlines in the Russia & CIS region will continue to renew their fleets by introducing more new fuel-efficient models, while gradually phasing out older and second hand aircraft. The region’s economy will gain positive momentum and grow yearly at 2.4% in the coming 20 years, with some countries, such as Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan, demonstrating a higher annual growth of around four to five per cent.

“The Russia & CIS market has always been of key strategic importance to Airbus, and we believe it will continue to grow, even with the recent challenges in the region, as air traffic has proven to be resilient to crisis around the globe. We look forward to seeing Airbus deliveries increasing in Russia & CIS to achieve a 50% market share,” said Christopher Buckley, Airbus Executive Vice President Sales. “We forecast traffic growth in terms of Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPK) to, from and within the Russia & CIS region to increase at 4.8 per cent per year on average over the next 20 years, which is above the world average of 4.6 per cent. The region’s highest traffic growth is expected to be on international destinations to the Middle East (+6.6%), followed by traffic to Asia-Pacific (+5.9%) and Latin America (+5.3%).”

Since Airbus delivered its first aircraft to Aeroflot in 1992, 28 airlines in the Russia & CIS region now operate over 340 Airbus models, including both its popular single-aisle and wide-body families. Over the last five years, Airbus’ fleet in Russia has doubled and the number of operators is constantly expanding.

  • Germany remains top aviation market, but growth less than world average

Germany | May 20, 2014– According to Airbus’ latest Global Market Forecast (GMF) in the next 20 years (2013-2032), the traffic to and from Germany is set to grow at 3.5 per cent per annum (global average 4.7 per cent), driving a need for 1,821 aircraft to address the country’s rising international and domestic air travel requirements. The fleet of aircraft serving Germany will grow by 80 per cent from todays’ 1,013 to 1,821 aircraft by 2032 and is forecast to consist of 1,338 single-aisle, 386 twin-aisle and 97 very large aircraft (VLA).

Demand in Europe for 5,950 new passenger and freighter aircraft, represents 20 per cent of world-wide demand with a market value of US$803 billion (North America at 20 per cent and Latin America at eight per cent). This compares to emerging markets where growth is stronger such as in Asia-Pacific which represents 38 per cent of the global demand.

“Germany is the fifth largest aviation market in the world and will continue its upward trend, but its growth is less than the world average,” said John Leahy, Airbus Chief Operating Officer Customers. ’’With its airport infrastructure being constrained we see the need for bigger, quieter and more eco-efficient aircraft as confirmed by the number of VLA’s increasing by five times from todays 21 to almost 100 aircraft by 2032.’’

Germany today is the largest export country in Europe and enjoys the strongest economy. It is the world’s fourth-largest economy and because it is driven by exports the importance of aviation for Germany cannot be underestimated. By 2032, Dusseldorf will have joined Frankfurt and Munich to become one of the World’s aviation mega-cities’

Germany has seven main airlines: Air Berlin, Condor, Germanwings, European Air Transport, Germania, Hamburg Airways and Lufthansa. Each airline relies on Airbus aircraft for part if not all of their fleets. With 387 Airbus aircraft in operation (279 A320 Family aircraft, 19 A300/A310s, 77 A330/A340s, and 12 A380s) with German carriers, Airbus has gained a market share of more than 65 per cent underlining the preference of German carriers for Airbus aircraft. To date, there are nearly 180 aircraft in Airbus’ backlog for delivery to German carriers (150 A320 Family aircraft, 25 A350s and 2 A380s).